Well, there are no flyovers, no cracks of the bat, no peanuts or Cracker Jack. But that doesn’t mean there can’t be Power Rankings.
On what would have been Opening Day, we compile the votes of ESPN’s baseball reporters, writers and editors and unveil our rankings for all 30 teams, looking at where they stand with the season in limbo. Along with the rankings, David Schoenfield and Bradford Doolittle offer a look at what a shortened schedule could mean for each team’s season.
2019 record: 106-56
World Series odds: 3-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: If anything, a shortened season should only make the Dodgers stronger. They won’t have to worry as much about monitoring the workloads of veteran starters Clayton Kershaw and David Price or the innings for Julio Urias, who is projected to finally enter the rotation on a full-time basis. — David Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Enjoy Kershaw while we can
2019 record: 103-59
World Series odds: 3-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Whether they are playing or not, more Yankees are probably injuring themselves even as these words are typed. But in theory, New York could begin the season at something like full strength, with the season-long absence of starter Luis Severino a glaring exception. Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge and James Paxton all have time to heal up in time to be active whenever we finally get an Opening Day. — Bradford Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Looking back at Judge’s 2017 HR Derby barrage
2019 record: 107-55
World Series odds: 8-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Obviously the Astros’ rotation gets a tangible boost from a late start. Justin Verlander will have time to rehab his groin injury and could end up taking the Opening Day slot after all. Also, Tommy John returnee Lance McCullers Jr. shouldn’t need to have his cumulative workload as closely monitored. Intangibly, the Astros get a mental break from the avalanche of animosity they were buried with during spring training. For now, they are no longer in the eye of the storm. Will fans forget about their misdeeds altogether? Not a chance. But those misdeeds are no longer smoldering as hotly in the public consciousness. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Game 5 of 2017 World Series a wild ride
2019 record: 96-66
World Series odds: 25-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: If, as was posited by Rob Mains of Baseball Prospectus, offense will be suppressed by a late start, the Rays could post epic run prevention numbers. They were already elite in that regard as it was. Then they would have three additional advantages in a shorter campaign: (1) Their star-studded rotation has a spotty recent injury history, but it wouldn’t have to be limited as much in a short season. (2) The Rays’ organizational depth and systematic approach to running a bullpen would stand out even more. (3) If bats are slow to start around baseball, the Rays’ elite defense would be there from the outset, improving their standing from a positional standpoint. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Rays on top of farm system rankings
2019 record: 101-61
World Series odds: 16-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Twins might benefit as much as any team in the AL Central from a clipped campaign. As it was, Minnesota was just hoping to tread water with the innings missed by starter Rich Hill, who isn’t expected to be back from his elbow injury until June. The Twins don’t get a similar break with PED-suspended starter Michael Pineda, who will still have five weeks to sit out. But Minnesota gets more time for Byron Buxton to strengthen his surgically repaired shoulder. As much as anything, though, the Twins won’t have to map out as much rest time for advanced veterans Nelson Cruz and Josh Donaldson. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Remembering Morris’ masterpiece
2019 record: 97-65
World Series odds: 14-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Braves were still unsettled in their rotation when spring training was interrupted, with Sean Newcomb, Kyle Wright, Touki Toussaint and Felix Hernandez battling for the final two spots. In a shorter season, it’s more imperative to get those decisions right from the get-go. They will also now have Cole Hamels for a larger chunk of the season, as he would not have been available at least until mid-May. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Albies will keep rising in MLB Rank
2019 record: 93-69
World Series odds: 20-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Max Scherzer had missed a spring training start because of fatigue on his right side, which was more precautionary than anything (he felt no pain and didn’t require an MRI). Throw in all the innings Stephen Strasburg had thrown last year and the lack of depth in the rotation after the top five, and there had to be concerns about a World Series hangover (like what happened to the Red Sox’s rotation in 2019), but that should now be less of a concern. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Recalling Strasburg’s eye-opening ceiling
2019 record: 97-65
World Series odds: 20-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Injury-addled starter A.J. Puk turned up with a shoulder strain this spring. While the injury wasn’t serious, it probably would have kept him from a March 26 roster spot. Now Puk could be in the mix from the start. Along with fellow prospect Jesus Luzardo, Puk brings star potential to the Oakland staff. Neither would have been ridden hard in the 2020 season, even as Oakland is positioned as a contender. Now, proportionally, they should be able to have a greater impact, giving the Athletics a better chance to be their ideal selves. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Anticipating Semien’s follow-up act
2019 record: 93-69
World Series odds: 30-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Rotation injuries hampered the Indians before the shutdown, and a late start gives Carlos Carrasco a chance to rest his inflamed elbow. And, all of a sudden, it is once again possible that Mike Clevinger — expected to be ready by late April or so — could return from his knee injury in time to make the Opening Day start he seemed destined for. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: How Rajai Davis left us speechless
2019 record: 84-78
World Series odds: 20-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Cubs had several still unresolved roster battles going on: center field (Ian Happ, Albert Almora Jr.), second base (Nico Hoerner, David Bote, Jason Kipnis), fifth starter (Tyler Chatwood, Alec Mills) and the back of the bullpen. In a sense, these are all important decisions: The problems with the 2019 squad weren’t so much the top-line players, but the backups and role players, who were mostly awful. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Cubs’ Rachel Folden breaks through as full-time coach
2019 record: 86-76
World Series odds: 18-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Yoenis Cespedes, who played only 36 games in 2018 and missed all of 2019 after surgery on both heels, was questionable for the original Opening Day, but now should be ready when baseball resumes. How much he has left at age 34 remains an unknown, but even with two surgically repaired heels, he can’t be any worse on defense than J.D. Davis or Dominic Smith. Meanwhile, the rotation will be without Noah Syndergaard for the next season and a half. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Alonso’s power-packed show
2019 record: 91-71
World Series odds: 12-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Miles Mikolas (right flexor tendon strain) and Andrew Miller (had struggled in spring training) were both shaky for Opening Day, which probably had opened up a rotation spot for Carlos Martinez. With Mikolas now likely to be ready, that puts Martinez’s role back in limbo. Kwang-Hyun Kim had also looked good with eight scoreless innings, although the Cardinals would have liked to see him against tougher competition in the final weeks of spring training. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: David Freese, St. Louis superhero
2019 record: 75-87
World Series odds: 20-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Reds had a few injury issues when spring training was halted. Eugenio Suarez, who had shoulder surgery in late January after a swimming pool accident, was just getting ready for game action and manager David Bell has said there was a “strong chance” he would have been ready for Opening Day anyway. Nick Senzel, who had surgery for a torn labrum in September, had returned to DH but had yet to play in the field. He’s now more likely to be ready. Freddy Galvis had also been limited in spring training by a quad strain and sore shoulder and should now be OK. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Bauer’s social media presence
2019 record: 72-90
World Series odds: 20-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: For the Angels, it’s all about the possibility of having Shohei Ohtani ready to go as a two-way player by the eventual Opening Day, as he’s continuing his rehab work during the shutdown. Suddenly, the specter of repeating Babe Ruth’s historic 1918-19 impact looms. Those were Ruth’s only seasons as a true two-way player, and they also happened to be two shortened seasons. In 1918, Ruth led the AL in homers (11) and slugging percentage while, on the mound, he went 13-7. Returning to the present: The greater the portion of the Angels’ innings that can be covered by Ohtani, the better, because their rotation lacks star power. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Trout, Rendon baseball’s dynamic duo
2019 record: 89-73
World Series odds: 50-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Luis Urias, acquired from the Padres in the offseason to play shortstop over light-hitting Orlando Arcia, broke his hamate bone in winter ball and was questionable for the original Opening Day but could now be ready. Once a top prospect, Urias has struggled in the majors at the plate, with a .649 OPS over 300 plate appearances. But he doesn’t turn 23 until June and Arcia has just a .610 OPS over the past two seasons. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Yelich on Milwaukee: Where I want to be
2019 record: 85-77
World Series odds: 30-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: No significant change to Arizona’s outlook as the only injury of note in spring training was Mike Leake, who suffered a fractured wrist on his non-throwing arm and had been questionable for Opening Day. Given the options for the rotation, however, he was the No. 5 starter at best anyway. The Diamondbacks had planned to monitor Luke Weaver ‘s innings after his elbow issues last season, so that is less of a concern. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Bumgarner with D-backs an odd sight
2019 record: 81-81
World Series odds: 28-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Left fielder Andrew McCutchen and relievers Tommy Hunter and Victor Arano would have missed the start of the season, but all three should now be ready when play resumes. McCutchen is the key player as he had scored 45 runs in 59 games with a .378 OBP last season when he injured his knee. The Phillies’ bullpen was also ravaged by injuries a year ago, so a healthy Hunter and Arano will provide additional depth. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Podcast — Victorino on ’08 Phillies
2019 record: 72-89
World Series odds: 15-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The ideal version of the White Sox would gain more proportional exposure in a shortened season, enhancing playoff odds that would already be boosted by a smaller sample size. Tommy John returnee Michael Kopech would get a higher percentage of innings. The same would hold true for younger, innings-limited starters such as Dylan Cease and Reynaldo Lopez. And don’t forget about Carlos Rodon, who is aiming at a post-All-Star return. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Moncada excited about White Sox’s talent
2019 record: 84-78
World Series odds: 75-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Boston’s playoff odds have plummeted over the offseason, thanks to the dealing away of franchise cornerstone Mookie Betts, and punctuated by Chris Sale‘s season-ending elbow surgery. A short season gives the Red Sox a mathematical boost thanks to sheer randomness. If that’s not a marketing pitch, we don’t know what is. More tangibly, Boston won’t have as many innings to cover with what looks like a woefully thin starting rotation. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Podcast — Roberts on steal, ’04 Red Sox
2019 record: 70-92
World Series odds: 22-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Hard-throwing Andres Munoz, who averaged 99.9 mph on his fastball last season in his impressive 23-inning debut, had Tommy John surgery last week and is out for the season, so the Padres have lost a key setup reliever. The key question, though, is a how a shorter season affects the arrival of top prospect MacKenzie Gore. He has only five starts above Class A, but his stuff is big league ready. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Padres’ prospect pipeline is deep
2019 record: 78-84
World Series odds: 60-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: Willie Calhoun‘s jaw was cracked by a fastball during spring training and the delayed start gives him a chance to be ready by a rescheduled Opening Day. Beyond that, the biggest effect for the Rangers is that they get more time to put the finishing touches on their new ballpark, which would have staged its first regular-season game next week. Just make sure the Wi-Fi and the power outlets in the press box are functioning, guys, and the coverage of your unveiling should go fine. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Hamilton’s Home Run Derby deluge
2019 record: 67-95
World Series odds: 100-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Blue Jays improved their rotation with their winter dealings, but the group still will lack an ace until fireballing prospect Nate Pearson arrives. He looked fantastic in spring training, but his high point in innings pitched in a professional season is the 101⅔ that he threw last season. Thus a midseason debut seemed likely for Pearson, even if he’s already the best pitcher in the organization. Now, the later the season starts, the shorter the period Toronto will run out a rotation that is not headed by its most talented performer.
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Jays’ young guns ready for next step
2019 record: 71-91
World Series odds: 100-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: One thing to factor in is how a shorter season affects the likelihood of trading Nolan Arenado. It could go either way. If play does start up, there are fewer games before the trade deadline on July 31, so the Rockies are more likely to be in the race. Or maybe the club figures it’s a lost season no matter what and decides to trade Arenado and retool the organization. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Arenado moving on from trade rumors
2019 record: 77-85
World Series odds: 100-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The outlook for the Giants wasn’t exactly rosy and still isn’t. Pablo Sandoval was recovering from Tommy John surgery and not expected until mid-May, but he should now be ready. The closer situation was unsettled, especially with Tony Watson battling a sore shoulder, but he’s more likely to get the job now (and become trade bait). Top prospect Joey Bart could see his timeline affected. He would have been a possible midseason call-up, but the Giants might just save his service time now and wait until 2021. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Pence gives fans “love, kindness”
2019 record: 69-93
World Series odds: 400-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Pirates have a new general manager in Ben Cherington, a new manager in Derek Shelton and are coming off a 93-loss season, so this was supposed to be a rebuilding year and a chance to evaluate the organization. That now becomes more difficult, although the hope is that veterans such as Chris Archer and Keone Kela come out pitching well and become attractive trade options. The top prospect ready to make a push for a call-up is third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes, who played at Triple-A last year but needs to improve with the bat. Similar to other prospects in his shoes, it will be interesting to see how the team handles him. — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Pirates give 400 pizzas to medical workers
2019 record: 59-103
World Series odds: 250-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The late start gives the Royals a chance to get injury returnees Adalberto Mondesi and Salvador Perez back to full strength. The bigger questions are about what happens to door-knocking rotation prospects Daniel Lynch, Jackson Kowar, Kris Bubic and Brady Singer. Singer in particular seemed like a strong bet to make the original Opening Day roster. So do the Royals unleash these arms en masse on the American League, a la the 1984 KC rotation with rookies Bret Saberhagen, Danny Jackson and Mark Gubicza? Perhaps unlikely. But it would be fun. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Anticipating Dozier’s breakout encore
2019 record: 57-105
World Series odds: 1,000-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Marlins had added veterans Jonathan Villar, Jesus Aguilar, Corey Dickerson and Matt Joyce to provide competition and depth after last year’s team struggled to score runs. It wasn’t exactly clear how things were going to shake out as far as playing. Does a shorter season make it more likely the Marlins just play the vets or more likely they give more opportunities to players like Isan Diaz, Lewis Brinson and Harold Ramirez? — Schoenfield
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Marlins have top-10 farm system
2019 record: 68-94
World Series odds: 250-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: It might not mean much in the grand scheme of things, but the Mariners should be able to rely more on a core group of starting pitchers in a shortened season. Kendall Graveman and Taijuan Walker are both trying to reestablish themselves after major injuries, and venerable prospect Justus Sheffield threw 169 innings across three levels in 2019, the only season in which he has reached a level that would get him through a full MLB season. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Kurkjian’s first look at The Kid
2019 record: 47-114
World Series odds: 1,000-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The question of what might happen to the timeline of topflight prospects who might have (or still will) debut in the 2020 season is an industry-wide quandary. So it will be for the Tigers, whose top pitching prospects — Casey Mize and Matt Manning — have not pitched above Double-A. Will they be pushed up or back? At the other end of the age spectrum: Every game Miguel Cabrera loses hurts his chances of reaching 3,000 hits or 500 homers this season. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: What does Miggy have left?
2019 record: 54-108
World Series odds: 1,000-1
How they’re impacted by the shutdown: The Orioles’ biggest issue is that it’s not just MLB teams that are in stasis, and Baltimore’s top prospects are stuck waiting for game competition at the minor league level along with everyone else. Beyond that, you kind of feel for Chris Davis. After two horrendous seasons, he was crushing it in Florida, putting up a 1.682 OPS with only three strikeouts over nine spring games. A mirage? Quite likely. But now he loses the chance to hit the regular season running with a head full of confidence to prove that it wasn’t. — Doolittle
While you’re waiting for Opening Day: Podcast — Bill Ripken joins Buster Olney